Predictions for the Future

Demographic
Because Denmark has had low birth rates in the past, it currently has an ageing population. If the birth rates continue to increase, we expect to see Denmark reach replacement fertility rate within the next 50-60 years, thus creating a stable population. Over the coming years Denmark will continue having an ageing population yet this will most likely fade as the birth rates increase and replacement fertility rate goal is met. Denmark will probably be one of the first countries to reach a stable population; that is to say, a country that has replacement fertility rate of around 2.1 and an effective health care program in place. Although it will no longer have an ageing population, we can still expect to see a high life expectancy if its health care continues to be of high quality.


Possible future population pyramid (stable pyramid).
external image population_pyramid_stable.jpg

http://www.tenebrae.org/coursework/images/population_pyramid_stable.jpg
Social
If Denmark's government continues to implement the policies it does, we can expect to see Denmark's people continue to be content with their lives. With a more stable country as a whole as a result of it approaching replacement fertility rate, Denmark will be able to make social advances such as continue to stress high quality education, quality working environments and provide its people with high pensions and a good quality of life as a whole. If it's immigration policy remains strict, we can expect to see Denmark as a majority Danish-ethnic country, despite many people's wishes to live and work there.


Economic
Denmark's economy will probably continue to be strong by ensuring a high quality working environment to its citizens, thus increasing the productivity of its workforce. With a population approaching stability we can expect to see the dependency ratio of its citizens drop as the population slowly stops ageing, thus allowing the workforce to be more capable and efficient and lowering the dependency of the elderly and young on those of working age, allowing more money to go to development as opposed to pensions. On the whole, this would be hugely beneficial to the economy.

Political
The Danish Government will probably continue its funding of child support programs in order to reach the goal of having a replacement fertility rate. We expect to see it continue to allow parents to brign their children into work, provided it does not affect their productivity, as this policy was a huge factor in its increasing birth rate as parents were more willing to have children if they could bring them to their workplace. The government will probably continue to implement high taxes in order to sustain the quality of its services such as pensions, health care, childcare etc.


Environmental
With a relatively small population and one that is not likely to grow in the forseable future, Denmark will probably not experience problems such as high population density or a poor environment as a result of a growing population. As mentioned earlier, its strict laws of immigration mean that, although many may wish to live and work in Denmark, it is under no immediate threat of overcrowding due to immigration.


external image DenmarkCopenhagenSquareTower-1280.jpg